The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

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• Import

Customer Reviews:

• Avg. Customer Rating: 3.5 / 5.0
• A Major Achievement -- Don't Miss It!
  Most of the criticisms of Taleb and this book seem sensible:
  - His confidence sometimes seems to reach the level of condescending arrogance.
  - With a wave of the hand, he dismisses those he disagrees with, even Nobel prize winners. And perhaps he oversimplifies their positions in order to argue with their straw-man shadows.
  - He often circles around his points without winding up finally making his points clear. Is this how a supposedly street-smart guy should talk?
  - His frequent... more info
• Outliers
  The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
  This book is especially relevant in these "turbulent" economic times. In a way, this book is an example of the subject which it discusses, in that it is far removed from the conventional or "normal" book on the role of chance in our lives, including the financial realm. It will make you think harder than you ever have before about your comfortable assumptions concerning "randomness". But more than that, it will teach you to be a better critical... more info
• Not a history of black swan events
  I think I expected something different, like a presentation of various black swan type events. The author, comments and speaks and comments in an essay style which I found dissapointing. Same valid for his other book: Fooled by Randomness.I think readers will get a better deal if they read "Extraordinary Illusions and Madness of the Crowds" as well as most of the shareholder letters posted on gurufocus.com.
• Open your mind
  I must recognize that through the easy and entertaining Mr Taleb's style, I have adquired a wider vision of how we, as human beings, mostly and unreasonably make predictions.
  300 pages would have been enough (it has 400, at least in spanish edition).
  Nevertheless, I highly recommend this book. Open you mind and have fun!

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